December 2007 Archive

End of year filings

December 31st, 2007

Read tomorrow when you’re nursing your hangover - it’ll certainly make more sense then.

Filed under Do As I Say, Not As I Do:

  • Security warning! A flaw in Wordpress could expose your draft posts. This news bulletin was originally brought to you via Wordpress-driven social networking blog Mashable, but has since disappeared. This blog runs on Wordpress too, and this post will be deleted in roughly 24 hours.
  • Filed under The Lord Works In Mysterious Ways:

  • Jeff Jarvis, one of the few high profile bloggers I’ve seen that actually mentions something about their religious affiliation online, says “Google is God.” Meanwhile, the only ad on Buzz Machine is delivered by Google, and the displayed inventory is an attack ad by Compete against Alexa.
  • Filed under The Bigger They Are, The Harder They Fall:

  • I was working on a joint venture deal in China, with a pre-negotiated price. Each time I checked with the accountants working through the due diligence the assets got smaller and the liabilities larger. Seems the theme runs throughout the Chinese economy. Of course, you could also surmise the same about the US economy and the housing market it’s been so entirely dependent on.
  • Filed under More Than You Bargained For:

  • Everyone wanted an iPod for Christmas (again). Some folks got cryptic notes espousing anti-capitalism instead.
  • and…

    Filed under That Overpriced Conditioner Won’t Help:

  • Sweetheart…knots are natural!
  • Benazir Bhutto assassinated: proof positive of Twitter’s utility?

    December 28th, 2007

    Via Dennis Howlett of ZDNet:

    If anyone needed convincing of Twitter’s business utility, today is that day.

    Questions:

  • Was getting the Bhutto information faster via Twitter than say Google News?
  • How many people would one have to follow on Twitter to get all the relevant news they need?
  • and…

  • How many “I’m eating chocolate chip ice cream right now” tweets would one have to parse through to obtain the important data?
  • Predictions, predictions, and more predictions

    December 27th, 2007

    No guts, no glory

    • The Economist is calling for slower page refreshes, a handheld in every hand, and open, open, open everything. Marc Andreessen qualifies.
    • Read/WriteWeb talks a Twitter buyout, a Tumblr buyout, pressure on Facebook, and rebellion against Google.
    • Mashable says granny gets a Facebook page, MySpace sells, and many startups die. Then there’s what won’t happen.

    More are likely to grace us with their omniscience. Vision is in extremely short supply over here, so rather than spew more predictions I’ll toss out a few things that I’d like to see solely because they are completely outlandish, strategically and/or financially insane, and probably fun to watch happen:

    1) Research In Motion buys Skype - It would scare the hell out of the cell-cos, but be cool for the customers. RIM could marry PINs with Skype names, making PIN messaging useful beyond pinging your colleague with plain text messages during boring meetings. Both platforms are already geared towards security, and both have tons of developers drooling for them to open up - RIM would get a platform for methodical experimentation. Skype could become a serious contender for business communications, and RIM gets a wee foothold in voice.

    SEGMENT UPDATE: Heh. RIM and the “social graph.”

    SEGMENT UPDATE 2: Even SlingMedia is targeting RIM. RIM, do something bold!

    2) Someone creates a enterprise-quality CRM system around OpenSocial (or makes something like Sugar work with it), and targets Ning - Andreessen and Co. could build it themselves, but the platform is really their core focus. Niche social is interesting, but turning individual sites into full fledged constituent management systems could be a boon for non-profits and for-profits alike. Information dissemination, two-way communication, fund raising, and follow-up all in one place, but for many simultaneously. And all free.

    3) Send blogs to print - Localize them and pitch them like tabloids, just without the front page pictures of Britney Spears and Paris Hilton. Much as bloggers would like to think they are putting it to the traditional media, they are still heard by only a tiny fraction of “opinion consumers” - the mainstream still has a stranglehold on politics and the economy. A TechMeme for issues important moms and dads, aunts and uncles, grandmas and grandpas, available daily at the newstand, could further level the playing field. The publications would be like the free local papers, just with a variety of licensed content pulled from the web. Let one of the online players manage the advertising and the licensing issues.

    SEGMENT UPDATE: The timing might be good.

    4) Yahoo! buys GoDaddy - Many say Google might be the one, but I’d like to see a turnaround story wrapping this bounty. GoDaddy has a core competency and cash flow that Yahoo! could use, and Yahoo! has plenty of great service offerings that GoDaddy could promote. Merging hosting services would provide some cost savings, and Yahoo! could use the excess capacity to provide more advertising supported services.

    5) News Corporation buys Digg, Slashdot, Fark and MetaFilter, and puts Markos Moulitsas (DailyKos) and Glenn Reynolds (Instapundit) on permanent retainer. They provide a mashup for all the data on MySpace, and clean up the “creative” MySpace interface while they’re at it.

    Additional nutty contributions welcome.

    UPDATE: More predictions…I mean “possible improbables.”

    UPDATE 2: John Battelle speaks.

    Is There An Increasing Marginal Utility Of Data?

    December 26th, 2007

    Interesting concept - Union Square Ventures proposes that while material goods have decreasing marginal utility, the value of data increases for each new byte added.

    It’s a stretch that presumes the human user has potentially infinite interests. And to capitalize indefinitely on the data store, the human user would also need infinite desires, wouldn’t they? Neither is the case (at least after adulthood), and I suspect that beyond a point (closer to the y-axis that most think) the data is nothing but noise. While the marginal cost of the data storage is immeasurably close to zero, the computational costs (including CPU cycles and smart people creating new algorithms) to extract revenue from each additional bit should continue to rise.

    And socialization leverages existing data stores, but only to a point - afterwards there are likely diminishing returns as well.

    On the first day of Christmas my Google gave to me..

    December 26th, 2007

    ..a violation of my privacy.

    I don’t think this is a big deal, and it’s certainly not surprising.

    UPDATE: Mathew Ingram says get a grip. A poll of Mashable readers rings similarly.

    UPDATE 2: Paul Kedrosky wasn’t surprised either.

    Happy Holidays (and headline hoopla)

    December 24th, 2007

    Cheer and good tidings first; light reading last

    • Charlie Crist calls for an investigation of “Florida’s subprime-tainted fund.” It’s really a SIV tainted fund and a sub-prime tainted SIV, but I’ll spare you the details. More on the Florida Fund fiasco here, here, and here.
    • Research In Motion: no slowdown. Is it a consumer thing? Personally, I’m very happy with my Blackberry, although I consider it a business tool.
    • Myspace. Facebook. Go Wordpress!? This may sound a little outlandish now, but the open source blogging application has the install base and the development community to really put a hurting on the “traditional” fare.
    • A Home Price Heat Map, compliments of Stephen Heise. Data runs from 1975 to Q3-2007. Very interesting - hit the pause button along the way.
    • A reminder: next time you look into that camera someone might be recording the color of your eyes, among other things.

    Again, happy holidays!