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	<title>Michael Gracie &#187; bond insurers</title>
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	<link>http://michaelgracie.com</link>
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	<pubDate>Thu, 20 Nov 2008 23:14:58 +0000</pubDate>
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		<title>Despite Fed Funds Rate, Munis are Sucking Wind</title>
		<link>http://michaelgracie.com/2008/08/07/despite-fed-funds-rate-munis-are-sucking-wind/</link>
		<comments>http://michaelgracie.com/2008/08/07/despite-fed-funds-rate-munis-are-sucking-wind/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 07 Aug 2008 17:04:13 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Michael Gracie</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Office]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[bond insurers]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[municipal bonds]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[state budgets]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://michaelgracie.com/?p=2707</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[No need to ask why
Via Bloomberg (emphasis mine):
Almost a year after the Federal Reserve began to cut its target rate for overnight loans between banks to 2 percent from 5.25 percent, borrowing costs for states, cities, hospitals and municipal authorities are going in the opposite direction.
The $2.66 trillion municipal debt market is reeling from a [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<!-- sphereit start --><p><em>No need to ask why</em></p>
<p>Via <a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601109&#038;sid=aAjM9j4K4v4U&#038;refer=home">Bloomberg</a> (emphasis mine):</p>
<blockquote><p>Almost a year after the Federal Reserve began to cut its target rate for overnight loans between banks to 2 percent from 5.25 percent, borrowing costs for states, cities, hospitals and municipal authorities are going in the opposite direction.</p>
<p>The $2.66 trillion municipal debt market is reeling from a <strong>series of jolts springing from a decline in the creditworthiness of insurers that once backed half of all securities sold</strong> at the same time the economy teeters on the edge of a recession, eroding tax revenue.</p></blockquote>
<p>When it&#8217;s being noted that borrowing costs are going up because of the insurers&#8217; creditworthiness, you can be fairly certain that the fortitude of the actual borrowers is already in the tank.</p>
<p>Need examples?</p>
<ul>
<li>The Illinois governor proposes <a href="http://www.suntimes.com/news/metro/blagojevich/1095739,CST-NWS-blago07.article">putting speed cameras on interstates</a> to pay for Chicago police reinforcements;</li>
<li>Detroit&#8217;s mayor is <a href="http://www.clickondetroit.com/news/17120142/detail.html">put in jail</a> after trying to sell a tunnel to the Canadians;</li>
<p>and</p>
<li>New York&#8217;s governor is <a href="http://www.newsday.com/news/local/state/ny-stpate015784618aug01,0,289791.story">begging in&#8230;Washington</a>.</li>
</ul>
<p>Only Arnold Schwarzenegger seems to have a clue - <a href="http://ap.google.com/article/ALeqM5gVKofKbtJ2gCh_9py0AYsipjglpAD928OC803">cut pay and lay off workers</a>, and <a href="http://www.latimes.com/news/local/politics/cal/la-me-arnold7-2008aug07,0,7660937.story">veto every spending bill</a> that crosses the desk, until a realistic budget is finalized.  Of course, he&#8217;ll have to get past the <a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/08/01/AR2008080103309.html">whining state workers&#8217; union</a> and <a href="http://www.vnunet.com/vnunet/news/2223408/schwarzenegger-pay-plans-cobol">ancient payroll system technology</a> (in the heart of the information technology center of the universe no less) for his hard-nosed tactics to work.</p>
<p>Nevertheless, there&#8217;ll be no borrowing without usury for state and local governments.  Considering that the institutions having been riding the gravy train, on the backs of bond ratings propped up by bogus &#8220;insurance&#8221;, that&#8217;s probably the way it should have been all along.</p>
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